The World Cup Group D in 2010 appeared predictable. After the 2010 World Cup Group D started, this group looked to be the most lopsided. Germany had throttled Australia in the first blowout of the tournament, and looked to join the early favorites. Meanwhile, Ghana got lucky in defeating Serbia, which was a man down and looked punchless. Yet, everything changed when Serbia caught Germany napping, as their 1-0 upset put everything into chaos. As such, the 2010 World Cup Group D scenarios are vast today, as this could be the true “Group of Death.”
Heading into this afternoon’s matches, Ghana is the surprise leader with four points, after tying Australia. They are the only African team with a shot to advance, so they are the last hope for the host continent. Not only can they advance, they can win the World Cup Group D, if they pull the upset over Germany.
However, the Germans are still favored, despite their shocking loss to Serbia. But, their backs are against the wall, so they cannot afford to lose today. Due to their four goal win over Australia, they would win any goal difference tiebreakers, if it comes to that.
As for Ghana, a loss may or may not do them in, depending on the other Group D match today. Serbia threw the bracket into chaos with their win, as they are back in the running with three points. They get to face Australia today, and, if they win as expected, they have six points. No matter what happens between Ghana and Germany, a win puts Serbia into the knockout round.
If Serbia wins, and Ghana and Germany tie, Serbia would win the World Cup Group D, while Ghana would finish second – and Germany would be eliminated. However, a German win gets them in, while Ghana would need Serbia to lose in order to advance. But, if Ghana loses and Serbia ties, they would both have four points, and then the goal difference stat would break the draw.
Australia has the longest odds to get out of World Cup Group D 2010, but they are still, mathematically alive. They must win to have a chance, and get to four points overall. At that point, they would need Ghana to defeat Germany, so the Australians can leapfrog the Germans. Otherwise, Germany would win the goal difference tiebreaker by far. If Australia wins and Ghana loses, they are tied with four points – but the goal difference would likely eliminate the Australians.
No one expected any of this chaos when the tournament started, especially after Germany’s opening performance. But, like in Group C, the Group D standings could be unsettled until the very last minute this afternoon. If Germany didn’t advance, it would be the biggest shock of the tournament by far – and all of Africa will be rooting for that shock today.
Yahoo Sport- “World Cup 2010 – Group D permutations”