With an eye on the prize of becoming California governor, primary candidates Jerry Brown, Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner are hard at work. Will Meg Whitman become governor? Will California fall under the spell of (former) Gov. Moonbeam?
On November 2, 2010 California will elect a new governor. As the embattled – and highly criticized – tenure of actor-turned-Republican politician Arnold Schwarzenegger comes to an end, the Republican winner of the California June primary will face off against the Democratic winner. The 2010 California primary race will be decided on June 8th.
Democratic and Republican Contestants
Even as the California governor primary should hold a lot of suspense, on the Democratic side it appears to be an open and shut case. Current Attorney General Jerry Brown – who also held the title of California governor from 1975 to 1983 – is slated to smother the competition of six other candidates with little more than name recognition.
On the Republican side, the mudslinging contest between California Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner and business magnate Meg Whitman – governor hopeful who has had no political experience but ample business savvy – makes it difficult to divine who will carry the nomination. In this contest, money and name recognition threaten to eclipse the other six candidates.
California June Primary Polls
Affectionately known by his nickname of ‘Governor Moonbeam,’ Jerry Brown has chosen to take a hands-off approach to the competition. Granted, he weighs in now and again, but with the gubernatorial nomination from the Democratic Convention firmly secured, it is clear that he is the man to beat. Thus he waits to see who the rival will be.
Both Steve Poizner and Meg Whitman have a tougher road ahead. While Poizner seeks to paint Whitman as the female version of Gov. Schwarzenegger – a business person with no political capital, savvy and experience – Whitman fires back by pointing out Poizner’s sizable political record as proof that he is not a true-blue conservative. It is interesting to note that both candidates seek to outmaneuver one another by posing as being the more conservative while concurrently also being the more progressive candidate on the ballot.
Rasmussen(1) has run a three-way poll and the results – for Jerry Brown fans – are heartening. If Brown and Whitman were to face off, he – as of April 21st – would trounce her with 44 to 38 percent. If Brown’s challenger was Poizner, Brown’s lead widens to 50 percent, with Poizner only accumulating 32 percent.
It is interesting to note that the very acts of seeking to secure a win in the California governor primary – mainly negative advertising — is also likely to cost the Republican candidates any chance to win once Governor Moonbeam goes on the attack.
(1)Rasmussen. “Election 2010: California Governor” (accessed May 7, 2010)