A new SurveyUSA Poll suggests that the top two Republican candidates in that state, Meg Whitman running for Governor and Carly Fiorina running for United States Senator, have moved into the lead against their Democratic opponents.
Meg Whitman leads State Attorney General Jerry Brown, himself a former California governor, by seven points, 46 percent to 39 percent:
“Brown, currently California’s Attorney General, leads 2:1 in the Bay Area, trails in the rest of the state. Whitman, former CEO of eBay, leads among men and affluent voters. The Republican holds 77% of Republican voters. The Democrat holds 64% of Democrats. Independents break 5:4 Republican.”
Carly Fiorina has moved ahead of Senator Barbara Boxer for the first time, by two points, 47 percent to 45 percent:
“Twice as many Democrats cross-over to vote Republican as Republicans who cross-over to vote Democrat. The Republican has an ever-so-slight advantage in Greater Los Angeles and in the Central Valley. The Republican carries the Inland Empire 2:1. The Democrat carries the Bay Area 2:1.”
The poll results for Whitman and Fiorina are eye popping, considering that Barack Obama took California, hitherto a reliable blue state, by double digits less than two years ago. Jerry Brown already holds a statewide office and, while his tenure as governor ended in some acrimony, there have been nearly three decades for Californians to forget about that. Barbara Boxer has been an entrenched incumbent, being in her third term as a senator. Of course, it seems that being an incumbent, especially a Democrat, is a liability in 2010.
Whitman and Fiorina are, on the other hand, unknowns in the political arena, having made their bones in the private sector. Thus, neither woman can be justifiably blamed for the economic mess that both the United States and California are in. Both Whitman and Fiorina are running on the basis of their business experience being useful for helping to solve political problems.
The November election is just shy of four months away. Boxer has proved to be a scrappy campaigner in the past, with an ability to crush challengers during the closing days of a campaign. Brown has experience dating back to the 1970s. Nevertheless, Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina have plenty of resources available for them running in the most expensive state in the Union to run a political campaign in. And, both Whitman and Fiorina have the wind at their backs.
If Republicans can win statewide in California, Election 2010 will be a political shift of seismic proportions. 2011 will be as different a world from 2010 as anything can be.
SurveyUSA Poll, Whitman vs. Brown Race for California Governor, Fiorina vs. Boxer Race for United States Senator