Is it true what is being said about the how ‘demographic winters’ may be affecting us all and will continue to do so as the situation becomes more common than it already is? It is suggested that the wild decline of the worlds birthrates will have serious impact on the future of mankind.
Although Doomsayers including such people as Thomas Malthus and Paul Ehrlich have said that because of booming population rates the world may find itself in a situation where depleted resources and mass starvation is a real possibility, more realistically it seems that more people have raised their standards of living and become more prosperous.
Experts believe that what the world is actually facing is an obviously real situation of declining birth rates. In nearly the last half century studies have shown that birth rates have declined over half. In past times the average amount of children was six per woman. Today the worldwide average is 2.9. The United Nations Population Division expects it to further decline to 2.05 by 2050. In other countries the decline is more pronounced with Europe’s birthrate standing at 1.5% and Russia holding 1.7% in 2008. What this shows is statistically frightening prospects of having a world whose population is in a fairly swift decline.
These declines may not seem as serious as they look, but in the immediate future Europe will face a serious labor shortages in their industrialized worlds. With other countries now having populations who are living longer but producing less populations per year, this leaves a lot of businesses to soon face a shortage of epic proportions when looking for a young and capable enough population to support their businesses, which in turn can support the world.
This demographic winter can impact all of us. It has already begun in the way that the United States has lately admitted that they are not sure if Social Security will be there for our younger generations. So that leaves the younger generations working and working towards supporting our older generations who may well deserve it, but at some point this could lead in a break with the younger workers who no longer want to support the older generation in their golden years.
What will Russia do in a few years to come to support and defend their borders when most of their population will be immersed in struggling to run its economy and food sources for the rest of the country? If Russia were to fall due to petty land fights and border brawling then that would absolutely reduce the stability of some European and Asian nations.
Indeed, even if we feel ourselves safe from any political or otherwise physical uprisings, the impact upon our world would be felt by all. It is said that if we fail to look into the past we are doomed to repeat its mistakes in our future, and in the recorded history of mankind there is no instance where population decline was followed by prosperity and abundance of economical growth.