When the gates fly open and release the field for the 142nd running of the Belmont Stakes there will be some notable absences. Kentucky Derby winner, Super Saver and Preakness Stakes winner Lookin at Lucky will not participate. This will be the first time since 1970, that there will not be at least one of the winners of the first two legs of the Triple Crown.
According to the Belmont Park oddsmaker the clear choice will be 3-1 horse Ice Box, coming out of the 6 spot, with Jose Lezcano in the stirrups. Second choice will be First Dude at 7-2 coming out of the 11 hole, with Ramon Dominguez, who ran second to Lookin at Lucky on the hard and fast track at Pimlico. Third favorite according to the Belmont Stakes oddsmaker is 9-2 shot, Fly Down with John Velasquez, the number 5 horse in the field.
All the top three favored horses have a legitimate chance to take home the hardware in the Belmont Stakes but there could be some extra things to think about. The weather could play a huge factor in the Belmont Stakes just as it did in the Kentucky Derby. A horse that doesn’t freak out with mud in his eye is the horse to look for in this field. The forecast for the weekend at the Belmont Stakes is 50% chance of thunder showers.
Stay Put with Jamie Theriot has two wins in the slop.
Stay Put, a 20-1 opening line bet, has two wins on a sloppy track both with jockey Jamie Theriot on board. Both of the races were in mile and an eighth races and both races Theriot brought Stay Put through horses at the top of the stretch coming from third and fourth respectively in both races. This tells us that Stay Put, although inferior to more than half the field when it comes to speed, can break out at the top of the stretch even if there is mud flying in his face.
Stay Put is coming off a best Beyer rating of 90 and has progressed well. The 90 rating came in the slop and Stay Put could improve on that in the Belmont Stakes. Look for Theriot to position Stay Put just of the pace until the stretch run and then make a run for it. Take Stay Put at 20-1 to win the Belmont Stakes and hope most people are on First Dude and Ice Box.
Ice Box has shown he likes to run in the slop also.
Ice Box was coming towards the end of the Kentucky Derby on the sloppy Churchill Downs course. Time was cruel to Ice Box in the Kentucky Derby but time will be on his side in the Belmont Stakes. Ice Box had a rough trip to the front of the Kentucky Derby and this is why he is the odds on favorite to win the Belmont Stakes. Ice Box ran his best all time Beyer number of 100 in the sloppy Kentucky Derby and this race could fit right in for him and his jockey Jose Lezcano. Make a cover bet with Ice Box and throw him in the exotics to hit the board in the Belmont Stakes.
Make Music for Me is another horse that did well in Derby slop.
Make Music for Me had a horrendous break coming out of the number 9 gate in the Kentucky Derby, but the horse was persistent and worked his way through the field despite the hazardous conditions. Make Music for Me had his all time best Beyer rating of 97 on the wet and wild Kentucky Derby day and if the race was a mile and a half, Make Music for Me may have scored the win. Take Make Music for Me in your exotics and place a bet to win the Belmont Stakes.
Odds, post positions & jockeys for the Belmont Stakes June 5, 2010.
1 Dave in Dixie with Calvin Borel 20-1.
2 Spangled Star with Garrett Gomez 30-1
3 Uptowncharlybrown with Rajiv Maragh 10-1
4 Make Music for Me with Joel Rosario 10-1
5 Fly Down with John Velazquez 9-2
6 Ice Box with Jose Lezcano 3-1
7 Drosselmeyer with Mike Smith 12-1
8 Game On Dude with Alan Garcia 10-1
9 Stately Victor with Alan Garcia 15-1
10 Stay Put with Jamie Theriot 20-1
11 First Dude with Ramon Dominguez 7-2
12 Interactif with Javier Castellano 12-1
www.nyra.com post positions and opening odds.